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As Maine goes, so goes the nation?

A political adage in the 19th century pegged Maine as the bellwether state in presidential elections. We think that in the modern political era, Tennessee is a better bellwether.

Since Franklin Roosevelt formed his New Deal coalition in 1932, only in 1960 did the Volunteer State buck the national trend. Few other states have more consistently reflected the mood of the nation.

KEY

Democratic
Republican

Year

Tennessee
Elected

1932

Roosevelt

Roosevelt

1936

Roosevelt

Roosevelt

1940

Roosevelt

Roosevelt

1944

Roosevelt

Roosevelt

1948

Truman

Truman

1952

Eisenhower

Eisenhower

1956

Eisenhower

Eisenhower

1960

Nixon

Kennedy

1964

Johnson

Johnson

1968

Nixon

Nixon

1972

Nixon

Nixon

1976

Carter

Carter

1980

Reagan

Reagan

1984

Reagan

Reagan

1988

Bush

Bush

1992

Clinton

Clinton

1996

Clinton

Clinton

2000

Bush

Bush

2004

Bush

Bush

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